Paxie
2025
Prediction markets fascinate me. Not for the money. For the information.
Markets aggregate what thousands of people know into a single number. Better than polls. Better than experts. Better than algorithms. If you want to know if something will happen, ask people to put money on it.
The problem: every prediction market I tried felt designed for crypto people, not normal people.
Here's what using most prediction markets feels like. Install a browser extension. Create a wallet. Write down 12 words. Buy some ETH. Wait for the transaction. Hope you did everything right.
By step 3, most people have closed the tab.
Web3 has a user experience problem. The technology is interesting. The experience is hostile. I wanted to fix that.
Paxie is a prediction market that hides the crypto. You sign in with email. You see markets. You click to predict. Behind the scenes, thirdweb handles wallets, transactions, everything. Users don't know it's Web3. They don't need to.
The technology should be invisible. The product is what matters.
Every time I exposed a Web3 concept to users, wallets, gas fees, transactions, someone got confused. Every time I hid it, engagement improved. Users don't care how it works. They care if it works.
Next.js handles the frontend. thirdweb creates embedded wallets automatically when users sign up with email. Custom smart contracts manage market creation and settlement. PostgreSQL stores everything else. WebSockets keep probabilities updating in real-time.
The best compliment I got on Paxie: "Wait, this is on blockchain?"
They had no idea. That was the goal.